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Previously to avoid computing P(q,t|n)*P(n|mu) for large n when they were very
unlikely I was using a precomputed maximum n value based only on the expected
number of PE. However, this didn't take into account P(q|n).
This commit updates the likelihood function to dynamically decide when to quit
computing these probabilities when the probability for a given n divided by the
most likely probability is less than some threshold.
This threshold is currently set to 10**(-10) which means we quit calculating
these probabilities when the probability is 10 million times less likely than
the most probable value.
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This commit adds a fast function to calculate the expected number of PE at a
PMT without numerically integrating over the track. This calculation is *much*
faster than integrating over the track (~30 ms compared to several seconds) and
so we use it during the "quick" minimization phase of the fit to quickly find
the best position.
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This commit updates the likelihood fit to use the KL path expansion. Currently,
I'm just using one coefficient for the path in both x and y.
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The RMS scattering angle calculation comes from Equation 33.15 in the PDG
article on the passage of particles through matter. It's not entirely obvious
if this equation is correct for a long track. It seems like it should be
integrated along the track to add up the contributions at different energies,
but it's not obvious how to do that with the log term.
In any case, the way I was previously calculating it (by using the momentum and
velocity at each point along the track) was definitely wrong.
I will try this out and perhaps try to integrate it later.
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